UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$82.75
-3.63 (-4.21%)
▼
5d:
-5.0%
30d:
+8.25%
90d:
+49.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
UCTT is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $105 2026-06-18 with 669 OI. Call ratio: 95% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UCTT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: UCTT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$163.82
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$101.72
18.7% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $82.75, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $72.12 to $83.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.45, while resistance sits at $88.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.40 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $71.45, while resistance sits at $88.37. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $104.40 (+20.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$72.12 -
$83.86
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.2%)
- BULLISH: Trading 20.9% below Wall St target ($104.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.9% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$72.12 -
$83.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$8.89
(10.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$71.45
Resistance Level
$88.37
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.90
Wall Street Target
$104.40
(+20.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.9% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 22.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.16
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$87.94
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$88.73
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$86.42
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: 62.6%)
$291.53
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 62.6%)
$280.62
(+225%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 62.6%)
$238.52
(+176%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 9:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
David T Ibnale
SELL
23500 shares
2025-12-03
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