UCTT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UCTT - Ultra Clean Holdings, Inc.
$106.48
-23.12 (-17.84%)
▼
5d:
-11.76%
30d:
+18.03%
90d:
+67.68%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: UCTT is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: UCTT is down 11.8% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$177.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$109.98
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UCTT is currently trading at $106.47, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $88.07 to $121.06. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 27.0) compared to its historical average (23.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $103.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UCTT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $103.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: UCTT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$88.07 -
$121.06
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.8%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($107.40)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.4% growth with 2.9% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.8% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$88.07 -
$121.06
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.30
Resistance Level
$144.22
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
27.04
Wall Street Target
$107.40
(+0.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.1%
Profit Margin
-9.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.4% premium
PE vs Historical
27.0 vs 23.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$112.22
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$118.28
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$124.67
(+17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 27→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$106.50
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 27.0, Growth: 67.7%)
$359.35
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 67.7%)
$289.44
(+172%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 67.7%)
$246.02
(+131%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UCTT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-13
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-01-06
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