UHAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
UHAL - U-Haul Holding Company
$48.67
-1.00 (-2.01%)
▼
5d:
-7.86%
30d:
-5.81%
90d:
-2.05%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 27, 2026
11d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: UHAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: UHAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$37.49
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$23.28
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: UHAL is currently trading at $48.67, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.02 to $52.85. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 64.5) compared to its historical average (76.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UHAL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.45 (+51.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, UHAL is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.91. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.45 (+51.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$50.02 -
$52.85
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.9% below Wall St target ($75.45)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.9% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.02 -
$52.85
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.91
Resistance Level
$53.31
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
64.51
Wall Street Target
$75.45
(+51.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-43.5%
Profit Margin
2.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
64.5 vs 76.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$46.99
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$44.45
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$42.05
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 65→76)
$49.61
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 64.5, Growth: 129.9%)
$167.64
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 129.9%)
$57.28
(+15%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 129.9%)
$48.68
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (68x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (65x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 68.49 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.73
Bull Case
$59.98
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 71.9
Base Case
$49.67
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 68.5
Bear Case
$38.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 61.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 64.5 to 76.1
Stabilization Target:
$58.60
(+18.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+18.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:52 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is UHAL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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