VIAV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$41.66
-5.41 (-11.49%) ▼
5d: -17.41%
30d: -21.22%
90d: +18.02%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your VIAV Gains
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

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Strength: 8.5/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIAV shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.57
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.85
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $41.66, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $46.64 to $52.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 32.4) is in line with its historical norms (33.9). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $40.79. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.5% recently.

Market Sentiment: VIAV has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.57 (+55.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range $46.64 - $52.43
Company Quality Score 45/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 52.4%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.5%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 55.0% below Wall St target ($64.57)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-17.4%) - monitor closely

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $46.64 - $52.43
Current vs Trading Range OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $40.79
Resistance Level $53.10
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Jul 2, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 32.41
Wall Street Target $64.57 (+55.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -68.5%
Profit Margin -4.0%
Valuation Discount vs History -1.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 32.4 vs 33.9 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -1.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $41.08 (-1%)
2-Year Target $40.50 (-3%)
3-Year Target $39.93 (-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 32→34) $41.77 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 32.4, Growth: 37.1%) $107.46 (+158%)
Base: (SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 37.1%) $72.21 (+73%)
Bear: (PE: 18.5, Growth: 37.1%) $61.38 (+47%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 32.4 to 33.9
Stabilization Target: $43.57 (+4.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +4.6%
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Last updated: July 03, 2026 8:09 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:09 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
17
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-27
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-09
Paul Mcnab SELL 3551 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced VIAV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIAV price and gamma walls.

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