VIAV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

VIAV - Viavi Solutions Inc. Common Stock

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$53.11
-0.52 (-0.97%) ▼
5d: +4.04%
30d: +35.28%
90d: +100.42%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your VIAV Gains
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 0d
Smart Money Accumulation

VIAV is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $30 2026-06-18 with 7,228 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →

Strength: 5.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: VIAV trades at premium valuation expecting 8.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$62.09
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$38.55
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: VIAV is currently trading at $53.11, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $41.02 to $52.25. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 41.6) compared to its historical average (32.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.8% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, VIAV is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.75, while resistance sits at $57.01.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $64.43 (+21.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $41.02 - $52.25
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 54.3%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 21.3% below Wall St target ($64.43)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.8% growth with 42.8% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $41.02 - $52.25
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.75
Resistance Level $57.01
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 41.65
Wall Street Target $64.43 (+21.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 42.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -68.5%
Profit Margin -4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +8.8% premium
PE vs Historical 41.7 vs 32.3 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +8.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $57.78 (+9%)
2-Year Target $62.87 (+18%)
3-Year Target $68.40 (+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 42→32) PE COMPRESSION $53.05 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 41.6, Growth: 36.3%) $134.38 (+153%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 36.3%) $71.12 (+34%)
Bear: (PE: 18.7, Growth: 36.3%) $60.45 (+14%)
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Last updated: May 15, 2026 8:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:59 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-27
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr. SELL 2026-03-09
Paul Mcnab SELL 3551 shares 2026-03-02

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Advanced VIAV Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's VIAV price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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