WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$92.12
0.46 (0.50%)
▲
5d:
+4.22%
30d:
+18.48%
90d:
-21.49%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: WLDN is 11.3% above its trading range ($82.75). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: WLDN is 11.3% above its trading range ($82.75). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$146.80
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$91.15
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $92.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $73.06 to $82.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.4) compared to its historical average (21.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.90, while resistance sits at $98.00.
Market Sentiment: WLDN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.50 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $70.90, while resistance sits at $98.00.
Market Sentiment: WLDN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $127.50 (+38.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$73.06 -
$82.75
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
52.4%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+11.3% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 38.4% below Wall St target ($127.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$73.06 -
$82.75
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$70.90
Resistance Level
$98.00
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.38
Wall Street Target
$127.50
(+38.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.9%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.4 vs 21.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$86.50
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$81.22
(-12%)
3-Year Target
$76.27
(-17%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→21)
$92.15
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 7.4%)
$144.89
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$114.11
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$96.99
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
Bull Case
$143.65
(+56%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 27.1
Base Case
$130.59
(+42%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 24.6
Bear Case
$62.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.4 to 21.0
Stabilization Target:
$111.30
(+20.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+20.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 8:26 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:26 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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