WLDN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLDN - Willdan Group, Inc.
$76.30
-1.76 (-2.25%)
▼
5d:
-3.33%
30d:
-20.29%
90d:
-3.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WLDN appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -10.5% annual earnings decline despite 72% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.51
Based on 5.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$87.25
12.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLDN is currently trading at $76.30, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $82.42 to $97.53. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.4) compared to its historical average (20.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 71.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+80.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLDN is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $89.50. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $137.50 (+80.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$82.42 -
$97.53
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 80.2% below Wall St target ($137.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$82.42 -
$97.53
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$89.50
Resistance Level
$101.75
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.40
Wall Street Target
$137.50
(+80.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
71.9%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.4 vs 20.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$68.67
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$61.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$55.62
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→20)
$77.66
(+2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 7.4%)
$142.99
(+87%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.4, Growth: 7.4%)
$94.51
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.2, Growth: 7.4%)
$80.34
(+5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.72
Bull Case
$122.34
(+60%)
Analyst growth 42.5%, PE expands to 23.1
Base Case
$111.21
(+46%)
Market implied 42.5%, PE stable at 21.0
Bear Case
$53.08
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.4 to 20.1
Stabilization Target:
$106.53
(+39.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 6:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLDN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Steven A Cohen
SELL
6000 shares
2026-03-06
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