WLFC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WLFC - Willis Lease Finance Corp
$226.52
-0.50 (-0.22%)
▼
5d:
+1.8%
30d:
+29.79%
90d:
+28.98%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: WLFC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: WLFC is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$388.43
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$241.19
6.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WLFC is currently trading at $226.51, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $178.10 to $215.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $189.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WLFC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WLFC is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $189.93. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: WLFC has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$178.10 -
$215.80
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($226.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$178.10 -
$215.80
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$168.51
Resistance Level
$189.93
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.61
Wall Street Target
$226.00
(-0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
24.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
47.5%
Profit Margin
16.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.3% premium
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$236.26
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$246.41
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$257.01
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$226.32
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 26.7%)
$796.57
(+252%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 26.7%)
$461.01
(+104%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 26.7%)
$391.86
(+73%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.72 | Current EPS (TTM): $16.55
Bull Case
$271.14
(+20%)
Analyst growth 8.6%, PE expands to 15.1
Base Case
$246.49
(+9%)
Market implied 8.6%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$154.37
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 7:13 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:13 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is WLFC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Austin Chandler Willis
SELL
3400 shares
2026-04-01
Charles F Iv Willis
SELL
9727 shares
2026-03-27
Charles F Iv Willis
SELL
4270 shares
2026-03-26
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