ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$18.76
0.62 (3.42%)
▲
5d:
-7.54%
30d:
-17.68%
90d:
-9.94%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ADNT shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.99
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.94
32.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $18.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.55 to $22.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 5.7) compared to its historical average (7.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.68, while resistance sits at $21.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.75 (+69.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.68, while resistance sits at $21.04. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.75 (+69.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$20.55 -
$22.89
Company Quality Score
44/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 69.2% below Wall St target ($31.75)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.5% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.55 -
$22.89
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.68
Resistance Level
$21.04
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
5.68
Wall Street Target
$31.75
(+69.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
5.7 vs 7.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.52
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$16.37
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$15.29
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 6→7)
$18.82
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 55.6%)
$242.62
(+1193%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 5.7, Growth: 55.6%)
$63.32
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 4.8, Growth: 55.6%)
$53.82
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (28x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (6x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 27.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$39.91
(+113%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 30.7
Base Case
$36.28
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 27.9
Bear Case
$12.34
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 23.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 5.7 to 7.0
Stabilization Target:
$23.10
(+23.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:15 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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