ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$22.40
0.37 (1.68%)
▲
5d:
+2.47%
30d:
+9.32%
90d:
-14.73%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 06, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ADNT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.09
20.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $22.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $20.24 to $21.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.7) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $23.04. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.42 (+42.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$20.24 -
$21.86
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.6% below Wall St target ($31.42)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$20.24 -
$21.86
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.14
Resistance Level
$23.04
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.73
Wall Street Target
$31.42
(+42.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
6.7 vs 7.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.59
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$21.16
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$20.73
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→7)
$21.87
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 53.7%)
$243.41
(+1005%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 6.7, Growth: 53.7%)
$74.35
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.7, Growth: 53.7%)
$63.20
(+187%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.03 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.65
Bull Case
$48.66
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 37.4
Base Case
$44.24
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 34.0
Bear Case
$15.04
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.7 to 7.1
Stabilization Target:
$23.23
(+5.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+5.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Michel Pierre Rose Berth…
SELL
2500 shares
2025-11-26
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