ALV Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALV - Autoliv, Inc.
$121.45
0.07 (0.06%)
▲
5d:
+0.36%
30d:
+11.26%
90d:
-2.97%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 17, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ALV Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ALV shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$185.16
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$114.97
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALV is currently trading at $121.45, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $110.40 to $120.27. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALV is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $123.14. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ALV has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$110.40 -
$120.27
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($132.18)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 6.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$110.40 -
$120.27
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$114.10
Resistance Level
$123.14
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.16
Wall Street Target
$132.18
(+8.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-12.2%
Profit Margin
6.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 10.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$121.62
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$121.87
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$122.11
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$121.38
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.0%)
$389.73
(+221%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 14.0%)
$179.67
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 14.0%)
$152.72
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.08 | Current EPS (TTM): $9.29
Bull Case
$171.85
(+42%)
Analyst growth 28.6%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$156.23
(+29%)
Market implied 28.6%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$82.61
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ALV showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
7
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Franz-Josef Kortuem
SELL
8300 shares
2026-02-26
Magnus Jarlegren
SELL
1598 shares
2026-02-25
Christian Swahn
SELL
1478 shares
2026-02-24
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4205 | 60 BUY |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$109 | 59 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$13 | 59 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$79 | 58 HOLD |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$31 | 65 BUY |
