BZH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New

OPERATIVE BUILDERS
$22.12
-0.87 (-3.78%) ▼
5d: +17.85%
30d: +7.69%
90d: -20.17%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BZH trades at premium valuation expecting 14.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.49
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.72
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $22.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.64 to $22.97. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.0) compared to its historical average (8.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.82, while resistance sits at $25.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: BZH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $25.00 (+13.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $19.64 - $22.97
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.8%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($25.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 14.9% growth with -27.5% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $19.64 - $22.97
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $17.83
Resistance Level $25.60
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of May 15, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.01
Wall Street Target $25.00 (+13.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -39.9%
Profit Margin -0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.9% premium
PE vs Historical 13.0 vs 8.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $25.42 (+15%)
2-Year Target $29.20 (+32%)
3-Year Target $33.55 (+52%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→9) PE COMPRESSION $22.18 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 16, 2026 3:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:49 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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