GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$22.68
-0.19 (-0.83%)
▼
5d:
-2.24%
30d:
+0.22%
90d:
-7.84%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GNTX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.12
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $22.68, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.26 to $23.39. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.5% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $22.38. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.33 (+29.3%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$22.26 -
$23.39
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 29.3% below Wall St target ($29.33)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.26 -
$23.39
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.38
Resistance Level
$23.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.23
Wall Street Target
$29.33
(+29.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.2 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$22.11
(-3%)
2-Year Target
$21.56
(-5%)
3-Year Target
$21.02
(-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$22.60
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.2%)
$67.34
(+197%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.2, Growth: 11.2%)
$31.18
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.7, Growth: 11.2%)
$26.50
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.78
Bull Case
$31.32
(+38%)
Analyst growth 24.5%, PE expands to 14.1
Base Case
$28.48
(+26%)
Market implied 24.5%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$15.55
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.2 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.38
(+7.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+7.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 7:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Nash
SELL
11885 shares
2026-02-17
Neil Boehm
SELL
11248 shares
2026-02-17
Steven R Downing
SELL
35000 shares
2026-02-17
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