LKQ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LKQ - LKQ Corporation
$26.55
0.40 (1.53%)
▲
5d:
-0.75%
30d:
+3.51%
90d:
-9.42%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.8/10
Get Alerted When LKQ Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LKQ trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$44.37
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.55
3.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LKQ is currently trading at $26.55, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.39 to $26.78. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (9.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.72, while resistance sits at $27.91.
Market Sentiment: LKQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.81 (+53.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LKQ is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.72, while resistance sits at $27.91.
Market Sentiment: LKQ has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.81 (+53.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$25.39 -
$26.78
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.7% below Wall St target ($40.81)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.39 -
$26.78
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.72
Resistance Level
$27.92
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.99
Wall Street Target
$40.81
(+53.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-52.8%
Profit Margin
3.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 9.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$25.46
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$24.42
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$23.42
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$26.68
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$101.60
(+283%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 12.0%)
$37.26
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 12.0%)
$31.67
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.00
Bull Case
$47.81
(+80%)
Analyst growth 66.2%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$43.46
(+64%)
Market implied 66.2%, PE stable at 13.1
Bear Case
$17.78
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 9.1
Stabilization Target:
$30.25
(+13.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:17 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:17 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LKQ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
SELL
2026-03-30
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$3969 | 65 BUY |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$110 | 61 BUY |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$78 | 53 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$13 | 53 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$76 | 59 HOLD |
Advanced LKQ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LKQ price and gamma walls.
