MGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$62.69
-0.38 (-0.60%)
▼
5d:
-4.07%
30d:
-7.96%
90d:
+10.92%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 31, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: MGA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$92.68
Based on 7.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.55
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $62.69, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $64.20 to $66.95. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.56 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $63.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.56 (+11.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$64.20 -
$66.95
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($69.56)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$64.20 -
$66.95
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$63.59
Resistance Level
$69.19
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.26
Wall Street Target
$69.56
(+11.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.3 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.38
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$62.06
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$61.75
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$62.81
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.6%)
$229.69
(+266%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 11.6%)
$87.10
(+39%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 11.6%)
$74.03
(+18%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (27x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$138.75
(+121%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.3
Base Case
$126.14
(+101%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.6
Bear Case
$42.89
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.3 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$63.76
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:14 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:14 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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