MGA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MGA - Magna International
$63.50
1.08 (1.73%)
▲
5d:
+3.69%
30d:
+12.53%
90d:
+9.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
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1 traders called MGA this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: MGA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$93.07
Based on 8.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MGA is currently trading at $63.50, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.58 to $62.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MGA is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $63.94. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: MGA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$57.58 -
$62.86
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($68.61)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$57.58 -
$62.86
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.48
Resistance Level
$63.94
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.20
Wall Street Target
$68.61
(+9.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-35.7%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$62.11
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$61.80
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$61.49
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$62.22
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 12.2%)
$237.21
(+280%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 12.2%)
$88.28
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 12.2%)
$75.04
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.37
Bull Case
$137.59
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 29.0
Base Case
$125.08
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 26.4
Bear Case
$42.53
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.3
Stabilization Target:
$63.16
(+1.2%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.2%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 2:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MGA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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