AAOI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AAOI - Applied Optoelectronics, Inc.
Smart Money Accumulation
AAOI is down 4.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $150 2026-06-18 with 2,646 OI. Call ratio: 76% View Scanner →
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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📊 HOLD: AAOI is fairly valued with market pricing in 4.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Technical Outlook: Technically, AAOI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $135.40, while resistance sits at $191.87. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 11.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $102.30. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-11.8%)
- BEARISH: Trading 35.1% above Wall St target ($102.30)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
Support & Resistance Levels
Fundamental Context
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 AM
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Advanced AAOI Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AAOI price and gamma walls.
