ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$26.46
1.25 (4.96%) β–²
5d: +27.21%
30d: +36.74%
90d: +32.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ADNT is 16.1% above fair value ($22.79). Market expects 4.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.29
6.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $26.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.67 to $22.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $19.67 - $22.79
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.1% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.50)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 4.3% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.1% overvaluation

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $19.67 - $22.79
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $20.32
Resistance Level $26.75
Current Trend Downtrend
Technical data as of Feb 6, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.48
Wall Street Target $30.50 (+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -76.6%
Profit Margin -2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.0% premium
PE vs Historical 8.5 vs 7.5 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $27.52 (+4%)
2-Year Target $28.62 (+8%)
3-Year Target $29.76 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8β†’8) PE COMPRESSION $26.32 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.7%) $234.76 (+787%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 50.7%) $89.30 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 7.2, Growth: 50.7%) $75.91 (+187%)
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Last updated: February 08, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
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Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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