ADNT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ADNT - Adient plc Ordinary Shares
$26.46
1.25 (4.96%)
β²
5d:
+27.21%
30d:
+36.74%
90d:
+32.43%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Feb 6, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ADNT is 16.1% above fair value ($22.79). Market expects 4.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
βΈοΈ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: ADNT is 16.1% above fair value ($22.79). Market expects 4.0% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.56
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.29
6.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ADNT is currently trading at $26.46, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.67 to $22.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.5) compared to its historical average (7.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ADNT is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $26.75. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.0% recently.
Market Sentiment: ADNT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.50 (+15.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.67 -
$22.79
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+16.1% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.0%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.0% growth with 4.3% revenue growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 16.1% overvaluation
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.67 -
$22.79
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.32
Resistance Level
$26.75
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Feb 6, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.48
Wall Street Target
$30.50
(+15.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-76.6%
Profit Margin
-2.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.0% premium
PE vs Historical
8.5 vs 7.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.52
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$28.62
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$29.76
(+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8β8)
PE COMPRESSION
$26.32
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 50.7%)
$234.76
(+787%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.5, Growth: 50.7%)
$89.30
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.2, Growth: 50.7%)
$75.91
(+187%)
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: February 08, 2026 11:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:05 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ADNT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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