ATMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATMU - Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
$49.71
0.07 (0.14%)
▲
5d:
-8.23%
30d:
+5.21%
90d:
-14.47%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ATMU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ATMU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$81.03
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$50.31
1.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATMU is currently trading at $49.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.01 to $51.40. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 15.5) compared to its historical average (18.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.73. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+33.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$47.01 -
$51.40
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
Protect Your Profits
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.6% below Wall St target ($66.40)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-8.2%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$47.01 -
$51.40
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.74
Resistance Level
$54.26
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.46
Wall Street Target
$66.40
(+33.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
15.5 vs 18.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$47.13
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$44.67
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$42.35
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→18)
$49.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$91.96
(+85%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.5, Growth: 9.5%)
$65.29
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 13.1, Growth: 9.5%)
$55.50
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.47 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$68.83
(+39%)
Analyst growth 26.1%, PE expands to 21.4
Base Case
$62.57
(+26%)
Market implied 26.1%, PE stable at 19.5
Bear Case
$33.76
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 15.5 to 18.2
Stabilization Target:
$58.50
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 3:45 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:45 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATMU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATMU price and gamma walls.
