ATMU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATMU - Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc.
$54.04
-0.11 (-0.20%)
▼
5d:
-1.46%
30d:
-13.11%
90d:
-13.01%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
ATMU is up 5.2% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $52.5 2026-06-18 with 6 OI. Put ratio: 85% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.0/10
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1 traders called ATMU this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATMU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATMU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.9% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$84.59
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$52.53
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATMU is currently trading at $54.04, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $55.34 to $63.36. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 16.9) compared to its historical average (19.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.91, while resistance sits at $57.09.
Market Sentiment: ATMU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATMU is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.91, while resistance sits at $57.09.
Market Sentiment: ATMU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $66.40 (+22.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$55.34 -
$63.36
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 22.6% below Wall St target ($66.40)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$55.34 -
$63.36
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.01
(5.6%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.91
Resistance Level
$57.09
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.85
Wall Street Target
$66.40
(+22.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.3%
Profit Margin
11.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
16.9 vs 19.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.04
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$50.01
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$48.06
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→19)
$54.20
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.5%)
$93.06
(+72%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 16.8, Growth: 9.5%)
$71.13
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.3, Growth: 9.5%)
$60.46
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (17x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.55
Bull Case
$76.96
(+42%)
Analyst growth 26.1%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$69.96
(+29%)
Market implied 26.1%, PE stable at 21.8
Bear Case
$37.74
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 16.8 to 19.0
Stabilization Target:
$61.07
(+12.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATMU showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced ATMU Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATMU price and gamma walls.
