BZH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BZH - Beazer Homes USA, Inc. New
$28.07
0.53 (1.92%)
▲
5d:
+2.04%
30d:
+5.96%
90d:
+41.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 30, 2026
25d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BZH trades at premium valuation expecting 17.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: BZH trades at premium valuation expecting 17.9% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.06
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.94
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BZH is currently trading at $28.07, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $25.65 to $27.93. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 16.5) compared to its historical average (10.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 17.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.12, while resistance sits at $29.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BZH is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $26.12, while resistance sits at $29.80.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $25.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$25.65 -
$27.93
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding BZH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 10.9% above Wall St target ($25.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 17.9% growth with -27.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$25.65 -
$27.93
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.64
(5.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.12
Resistance Level
$29.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jul 2, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
16.51
Wall Street Target
$25.00
(-10.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-27.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-39.9%
Profit Margin
-0.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+17.9% premium
PE vs Historical
16.5 vs 10.1
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+17.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$33.09
(+18%)
2-Year Target
$39.02
(+39%)
3-Year Target
$46.00
(+64%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$28.14
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:30 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:30 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BZH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BZH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BZH price and gamma walls.
