CSL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CSL - Carlisle Companies, Inc.
$330.82
-17.13 (-4.92%)
▼
5d:
-8.21%
30d:
-4.73%
90d:
-19.12%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CSL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$542.77
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$337.02
1.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CSL is currently trading at $330.82, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $344.62 to $362.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (15.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $330.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $410.14 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CSL is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $330.51. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $410.14 (+24.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$344.62 -
$362.57
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading 24.0% below Wall St target ($410.14)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.2% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$344.62 -
$362.57
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$330.51
Resistance Level
$380.35
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.09
Wall Street Target
$410.14
(+24.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.2%
Profit Margin
14.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 15.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$318.25
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$306.16
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$294.52
(-11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→16)
$330.18
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$725.61
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 11.9%)
$463.37
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$393.86
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.32 | Current EPS (TTM): $17.12
Bull Case
$524.78
(+59%)
Analyst growth 37.1%, PE expands to 22.4
Base Case
$477.07
(+44%)
Market implied 37.1%, PE stable at 20.3
Bear Case
$236.61
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.1 to 15.8
Stabilization Target:
$370.87
(+12.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+12.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 16, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CSL showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephen Schwar
SELL
6049 shares
2026-02-12
D Christian Koch
SELL
36260 shares
2026-02-10
David W Smith
SELL
1800 shares
2026-02-10
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