CVGI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CVGI - Commercial Vehicle Group, Inc.

MOTOR VEHICLE PARTS & ACCESSORIES
$5.50
0.19 (3.58%) ▲
5d: +4.56%
30d: +39.59%
90d: +243.75%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026 0d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CVGI is 14.8% above its trading range ($4.79). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CVGI is currently trading at $5.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.88 to $4.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 54.9) compared to its historical average (36.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CVGI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $4.01, while resistance sits at $5.79. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.6% recently.

Market Sentiment: CVGI has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $7.17 (+35.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range $3.88 - $4.79
Company Quality Score 52/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 56.2%

All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+14.8% above its trading range)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.6%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.0% below Wall St target ($7.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.4% growth which is achievable

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $3.88 - $4.79
Current vs Trading Range EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $4.01
Resistance Level $5.79
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 54.91
Wall Street Target $7.17 (+35.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 28.6%
Profit Margin -2.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +14.4% premium
PE vs Historical 54.9 vs 36.7 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +14.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.07 (+14%)
2-Year Target $6.95 (+31%)
3-Year Target $7.95 (+50%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 55→37) PE COMPRESSION $5.31 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 PM
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Insider Activity (6 Months)
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NEUTRAL

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