DORM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DORM - Dorman Products, Inc. New
$137.65
1.90 (1.40%)
▲
5d:
+2.44%
30d:
+9.39%
90d:
+30.82%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 03, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DORM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DORM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.7% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$180.82
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$112.27
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DORM is currently trading at $137.65, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $123.53 to $132.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.7) compared to its historical average (12.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.7% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DORM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DORM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.25 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DORM is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $132.15. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: DORM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (8th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $152.25 (+10.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$123.53 -
$132.54
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
8th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 8th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($152.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.7% growth with 4.2% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$123.53 -
$132.54
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$7.21
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$119.94
Resistance Level
$132.15
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.69
Wall Street Target
$152.25
(+10.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-23.5%
Profit Margin
8.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.7% premium
PE vs Historical
14.7 vs 12.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$144.12
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$150.89
(+10%)
3-Year Target
$157.99
(+15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$137.69
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 13.2%)
$296.46
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.7, Growth: 13.2%)
$199.91
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.5, Growth: 13.2%)
$169.92
(+23%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.90 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.20
Bull Case
$225.73
(+64%)
Analyst growth 51.2%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$205.21
(+49%)
Market implied 51.2%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$92.31
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 6:22 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:22 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DORM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Donna M Long
SELL
947 shares
2026-03-12
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Advanced DORM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DORM price and gamma walls.
