FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$16.40
0.15 (0.92%)
▲
5d:
-11.69%
30d:
-1.8%
90d:
-13.91%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: FOXF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: FOXF shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$33.97
Based on 12.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.10
22.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $16.40, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.52 to $17.89. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.2) compared to its historical average (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.67 (+39.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $22.67 (+39.5%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$16.52 -
$17.89
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.5% below Wall St target ($22.67)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-11.7%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$16.52 -
$17.89
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.09
Resistance Level
$20.98
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.23
Wall Street Target
$22.67
(+39.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.2 vs 11.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.34
(-6%)
2-Year Target
$14.48
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$13.67
(-16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$16.29
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 20.1%)
$67.26
(+314%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.2, Growth: 20.1%)
$28.18
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.8, Growth: 20.1%)
$23.95
(+47%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.2 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$19.36
(+19.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+19.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 3:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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