FOXF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
FOXF - Fox Factory Holding Corp. Common Stock
$16.51
-0.53 (-3.11%)
▼
5d:
-12.04%
30d:
-8.48%
90d:
-3.05%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 06, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOXF is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: FOXF is down 12.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$36.10
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$22.41
26.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: FOXF is currently trading at $16.51, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.31 to $18.54. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.5) compared to its historical average (10.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, FOXF is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $16.95. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $21.67 (+31.2%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$17.31 -
$18.54
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 31.2% below Wall St target ($21.67)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -12.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$17.31 -
$18.54
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.96
Resistance Level
$19.09
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.47
Wall Street Target
$21.67
(+31.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-49.4%
Profit Margin
-20.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.5 vs 10.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.83
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$15.18
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$14.56
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→11)
$16.45
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 24.7%)
$73.58
(+346%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.5, Growth: 24.7%)
$31.99
(+94%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.0, Growth: 24.7%)
$27.19
(+65%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.5 to 10.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.65
(+13.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 03, 2026 9:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:05 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is FOXF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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