GFF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GFF - Griffon Corp
$84.88
0.24 (0.28%)
▲
5d:
+3.7%
30d:
-8.01%
90d:
-1.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: GFF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.58
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GFF is currently trading at $84.88, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.49 to $91.69. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.8) compared to its historical average (13.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.6% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $78.00, while resistance sits at $93.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.29 (+39.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GFF is showing sideways momentum. Immediate support is located at $78.00, while resistance sits at $93.43.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $118.29 (+39.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$83.49 -
$91.69
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
82.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 39.4% below Wall St target ($118.29)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.6% growth with -1.1% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.49 -
$91.69
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$78.00
Resistance Level
$93.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.81
Wall Street Target
$118.29
(+39.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-64.8%
Profit Margin
0.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.6% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 13.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$87.94
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$91.10
(+7%)
3-Year Target
$94.38
(+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$84.77
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$167.10
(+97%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 9.9%)
$112.52
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 9.9%)
$95.64
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 10.21 | Forward EPS (Implied): $8.31
Bull Case
$102.49
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 10.7
Base Case
$84.88
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 10.2
Bear Case
$64.93
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 9.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 23, 2026 1:07 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:07 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GFF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
James W Sight
SELL
3070 shares
2026-02-09
Seth L Kaplan
SELL
15000 shares
2026-02-09
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