GNTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GNTX - Gentex Corp
$23.41
0.51 (2.23%)
▲
5d:
+1.43%
30d:
+7.93%
90d:
-4.14%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 24, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GNTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GNTX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.86
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.64
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GNTX is currently trading at $23.41, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $22.05 to $23.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 9.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.22 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GNTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $23.71. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $29.22 (+24.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$22.05 -
$23.38
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
51.0%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 24.8% below Wall St target ($29.22)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$22.05 -
$23.38
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$22.37
Resistance Level
$23.71
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.67
Wall Street Target
$29.22
(+24.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
9.5%
Profit Margin
14.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 11.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.15
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$22.90
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$22.65
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
$23.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$66.62
(+185%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 11.3%)
$32.24
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$27.40
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.77
Bull Case
$31.24
(+33%)
Analyst growth 24.0%, PE expands to 14.2
Base Case
$28.40
(+21%)
Market implied 24.0%, PE stable at 12.9
Bear Case
$15.57
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 11.0
Stabilization Target:
$24.14
(+3.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+3.1%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 9:59 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:59 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GNTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Kevin C Nash
SELL
11885 shares
2026-02-17
Neil Boehm
SELL
11248 shares
2026-02-17
Steven R Downing
SELL
35000 shares
2026-02-17
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