GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$105.41
-1.15 (-1.08%)
▼
5d:
-8.34%
30d:
+0.37%
90d:
-24.37%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 28, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
GPC is down 4.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $115 2026-06-18 with 374 OI. Call ratio: 79% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: GPC shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$164.70
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$102.26
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $105.41, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $102.59 to $111.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.6) compared to its historical average (14.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.43 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $105.59. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.43 (+25.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$102.59 -
$111.17
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
72.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GPC? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 25.6% below Wall St target ($132.43)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -8.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$102.59 -
$111.17
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$105.59
Resistance Level
$116.77
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 28, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.59
Wall Street Target
$132.43
(+25.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.6 vs 14.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.77
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$96.34
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$92.10
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 13→14)
$105.35
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 20.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$222.69
(+111%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.6, Growth: 8.9%)
$136.03
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.7, Growth: 8.9%)
$115.62
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.76 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.66
Bull Case
$127.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 14.4
Base Case
$105.41
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.8
Bear Case
$80.64
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 12.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.6 to 14.4
Stabilization Target:
$120.57
(+14.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+14.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 29, 2026 1:54 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:54 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
6
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-20
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