GPC Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GPC - Genuine Parts Company
$103.75
1.49 (1.46%)
▲
5d:
+5.71%
30d:
+4.94%
90d:
-1.88%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jun 12, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.5/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GPC shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.5% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$157.84
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$98.00
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GPC is currently trading at $103.75, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.70 to $102.68. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 12.4) compared to its historical average (13.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 3.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.43 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GPC is in a strong downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $101.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GPC has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $132.43 (+27.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$95.70 -
$102.68
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.6% below Wall St target ($132.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$95.70 -
$102.68
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$96.07
Resistance Level
$101.10
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
12.39
Wall Street Target
$132.43
(+27.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-2.1%
Profit Margin
0.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-3.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
12.4 vs 13.8
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-3.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$100.12
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$96.61
(-7%)
3-Year Target
$93.23
(-10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→14)
$103.84
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.9, Growth: 8.9%)
$236.85
(+128%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 12.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$133.89
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.5, Growth: 8.9%)
$113.80
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (13x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 13.19 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.86
Bull Case
$125.28
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 13.9
Base Case
$103.75
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 13.2
Bear Case
$79.37
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 11.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 12.4 to 13.8
Stabilization Target:
$115.55
(+11.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+11.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: June 14, 2026 9:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:54 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GPC showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
2
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-30
Ro Khanna
BUY
2026-03-23
Michael T. McCaul
BUY
2026-02-20
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