GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$32.12
0.77 (2.44%)
▲
5d:
+18.81%
30d:
+68.76%
90d:
+55.9%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
GTX is up 6.7% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $16 2026-06-18 with 24 OI. Put ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GTX is 18.4% above its trading range ($27.13). Market expects 14.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: GTX is 18.4% above its trading range ($27.13). Market expects 14.1% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.42
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.89
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $32.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.54 to $27.13. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.1) compared to its historical average (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 14.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $32.25. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GTX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$18.54 -
$27.13
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
44.3%
Protect Your Profits
GTX is technically overbought (RSI 89). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+18.4% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($28.50)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 14.1% growth which is achievable
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$18.54 -
$27.13
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.98
Resistance Level
$32.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.13
Wall Street Target
$28.50
(-9.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.3%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+14.1% premium
PE vs Historical
14.1 vs 9.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+14.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$35.77
(+14%)
2-Year Target
$40.81
(+30%)
3-Year Target
$46.57
(+49%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.30
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.3%)
$67.44
(+115%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.1, Growth: 11.3%)
$43.25
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 11.3%)
$29.07
(-7%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (17x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 17.29 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$42.19
(+35%)
Analyst growth 29.7%, PE expands to 19.0
Base Case
$38.35
(+22%)
Market implied 29.7%, PE stable at 17.3
Bear Case
$20.11
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 14.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
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SELL
20000 shares
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