GTX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GTX - Garrett Motion Inc. Common Stock
$31.75
-1.84 (-5.48%)
▼
5d:
-9.31%
30d:
+0.54%
90d:
+70.7%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
📊 HOLD: GTX trades at premium valuation expecting 9.8% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.01
Based on 7.9% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.74
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GTX is currently trading at $31.75, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.23 to $34.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.3) compared to its historical average (10.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 9.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.67 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GTX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.90. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.67 (+12.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$32.23 -
$34.64
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding GTX? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.67)
- NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 9.8% growth which is achievable
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.3% 5-day decline
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$32.23 -
$34.64
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.90
Resistance Level
$34.02
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.27
Wall Street Target
$35.67
(+12.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
12.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.3%
Profit Margin
9.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+9.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.3 vs 10.8
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+9.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$34.86
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$38.28
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$42.03
(+32%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$31.81
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$67.61
(+113%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.3, Growth: 11.7%)
$44.30
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.8, Growth: 11.7%)
$33.53
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.64 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.71
Bull Case
$48.07
(+51%)
Analyst growth 30.1%, PE expands to 21.6
Base Case
$43.70
(+38%)
Market implied 30.1%, PE stable at 19.6
Bear Case
$22.84
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:06 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:06 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is GTX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Olivier Rabiller
SELL
144000 shares
2026-02-27
Daniel Deiro
SELL
20000 shares
2026-02-26
Daniel Deiro
SELL
13000 shares
2026-02-25
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