LEA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LEA - Lear Corporation
$138.71
1.10 (0.80%)
▲
5d:
+2.53%
30d:
+16.77%
90d:
+1.45%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
LEA is up 11.1% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $120 2026-06-18 with 1,000 OI. Put ratio: 94% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
Get Alerted When LEA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LEA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.7% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$219.32
Based on 10.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$136.18
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LEA is currently trading at $138.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $121.94 to $134.64. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $140.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LEA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $140.99. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LEA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$121.94 -
$134.64
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.2%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($145.93)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 0.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$121.94 -
$134.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$6.45
(4.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$120.75
Resistance Level
$140.99
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.97
Wall Street Target
$145.93
(+6.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
124.2%
Profit Margin
2.2%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.7% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 7.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$138.57
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$139.54
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$140.52
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$137.44
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 16.7%)
$603.96
(+339%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 16.7%)
$218.53
(+59%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: 16.7%)
$185.75
(+35%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (14x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 13.94 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.00
Bull Case
$264.50
(+92%)
Analyst growth 72.6%, PE expands to 15.3
Base Case
$240.45
(+75%)
Market implied 72.6%, PE stable at 13.9
Bear Case
$94.76
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LEA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Conrad L Mallett Jr
SELL
44 shares
2026-03-13
Marianne Vidershain
SELL
1590 shares
2026-02-24
Alicia J Davis
SELL
6630 shares
2026-02-19
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4205 | 55 HOLD |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$109 | 60 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$13 | 59 HOLD |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$79 | 60 BUY |
|
HSAI
Hesai Group Sponsored ADR |
STRONG BUY
14 analysts |
$31 | 65 BUY |
Advanced LEA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's LEA price and gamma walls.
