LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$514.38
6.88 (1.36%)
▲
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
+6.21%
90d:
-7.91%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When LII Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$722.48
Based on 6.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$448.60
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $514.38, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $481.17 to $524.38. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 19.3) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $499.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $567.06 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $499.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $567.06 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$481.17 -
$524.38
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($567.06)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$481.17 -
$524.38
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$499.82
Resistance Level
$551.50
Current Trend
Sideways
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
19.32
Wall Street Target
$567.06
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
19.3 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$512.32
(0%)
2-Year Target
$510.27
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$508.23
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→20)
$513.00
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.7%)
$774.84
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 19.3, Growth: 9.7%)
$679.18
(+32%)
Bear:
(PE: 16.4, Growth: 9.7%)
$577.30
(+12%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.53 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.53
Bull Case
$659.74
(+28%)
Analyst growth 18.2%, PE expands to 24.8
Base Case
$599.76
(+17%)
Market implied 18.2%, PE stable at 22.5
Bear Case
$345.10
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 19.3 to 19.5
Stabilization Target:
$519.20
(+0.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 10:49 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:49 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
Chris Kosel
SELL
254 shares
2026-02-04
Todd J Teske
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-04
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$76 | 62 BUY |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$97 | 56 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$151 | 61 BUY |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$518 | 56 HOLD |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$81 | 48 HOLD |
