LII Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LII - Lennox International Inc.
$570.03
-1.05 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
-0.12%
30d:
+10.39%
90d:
+22.63%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 22, 2026
17d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: LII shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 3.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$719.24
Based on 6.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$446.59
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 19.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LII is currently trading at $570.03, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $503.28 to $553.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.4) is in line with its historical norms (19.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $542.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LII is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $542.19. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LII has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$503.28 -
$553.48
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($571.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.1% growth with 5.8% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$503.28 -
$553.48
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$481.49
Resistance Level
$542.19
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.36
Wall Street Target
$571.00
(+0.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.7%
Profit Margin
15.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.1% premium
PE vs Historical
21.4 vs 19.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$587.70
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$605.92
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$624.70
(+10%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→20)
PE COMPRESSION
$570.39
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 9.4%)
$761.38
(+34%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.4, Growth: 9.4%)
$746.58
(+31%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.2, Growth: 9.4%)
$634.59
(+11%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (25x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.38 | Current EPS (TTM): $22.50
Bull Case
$745.20
(+31%)
Analyst growth 18.6%, PE expands to 27.9
Base Case
$677.45
(+19%)
Market implied 18.6%, PE stable at 25.4
Bear Case
$388.33
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 4:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:51 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LII showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Shane D Wall
SELL
100 shares
2026-02-25
Chris Kosel
SELL
254 shares
2026-02-04
Todd J Teske
SELL
700 shares
2026-02-04
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