LTM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LTM - LATAM Airlines Group S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing two thousand (2,000) shares of Common Stock)
$56.43
-0.48 (-0.84%)
▼
5d:
-0.83%
30d:
+10.63%
90d:
+11.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 27, 2026
22d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LTM shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly high pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$112.46
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$69.83
19.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LTM is currently trading at $56.43, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.18 to $56.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.2) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 70.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LTM is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $54.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LTM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $69.88 (+23.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$50.18 -
$56.94
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.8% below Wall St target ($69.88)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$50.18 -
$56.94
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$46.61
Resistance Level
$54.11
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.21
Wall Street Target
$69.88
(+23.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
21.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
70.7%
Profit Margin
11.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.2 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$55.98
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$55.53
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$55.09
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→8)
$56.37
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 39.7%)
$408.41
(+624%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.2, Growth: 39.7%)
$153.92
(+173%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.0, Growth: 39.7%)
$130.83
(+132%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.85 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.78
Bull Case
$74.46
(+32%)
Analyst growth 18.9%, PE expands to 10.8
Base Case
$67.69
(+20%)
Market implied 18.9%, PE stable at 9.9
Bear Case
$38.70
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.2 to 8.4
Stabilization Target:
$57.75
(+2.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 1:53 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:53 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LTM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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