MOD Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
MOD - Modine Manufacturing Co
$288.53
9.33 (3.34%)
▲
5d:
+7.0%
30d:
+21.16%
90d:
+33.92%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 19, 2026
4d
Smart Money Distribution
MOD is up 9.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $160 2026-06-18 with 1,016 OI. Put ratio: 66% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.4/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MOD is 7.8% above its trading range ($267.64). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: MOD is 7.8% above its trading range ($267.64). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$359.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$222.99
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: MOD is currently trading at $288.53, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $233.68 to $267.64. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 37.9) compared to its historical average (29.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 8.9% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $287.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, MOD is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $287.30. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: MOD has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$233.68 -
$267.64
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding MOD? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+7.8% above its trading range)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($265.57)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 8.9% growth with 30.5% revenue growth
- CAUTION: Extended 7.8% above its trading range - wait for pullback
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$233.68 -
$267.64
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$256.70
Resistance Level
$287.30
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
37.85
Wall Street Target
$265.57
(-4.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
30.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.5%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+8.9% premium
PE vs Historical
37.9 vs 29.3
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$304.05
(+9%)
2-Year Target
$331.11
(+19%)
3-Year Target
$360.58
(+29%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 38→29)
PE COMPRESSION
$279.13
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 37.8, Growth: 51.6%)
$942.30
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 51.6%)
$548.71
(+97%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 51.6%)
$466.40
(+67%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (38x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (38x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 38.02 | Forward EPS (Implied): $7.34
Bull Case
$337.13
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 39.9
Base Case
$279.20
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 38.0
Bear Case
$213.59
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 34.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 12:44 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:44 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is MOD showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-02-02
Suresh V Garimella
SELL
1100 shares
2026-01-22
Neil David Brinker
SELL
31871 shares
2025-12-02
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