NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$14.31
0.01 (0.07%)
▲
5d:
-7.8%
30d:
-1.92%
90d:
-0.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 04, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: NPKI shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.41
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.16
5.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 24.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $14.31, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.44 to $15.51. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 23.1) is in line with its historical norms (24.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.2% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 4.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: NPKI has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+42.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$14.44 -
$15.51
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 42.1% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-7.8%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.44 -
$15.51
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.09
Resistance Level
$15.98
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.08
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+42.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
23.1 vs 24.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.14
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$13.97
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$13.80
(-4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→24)
$14.35
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 23.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$22.91
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$21.62
(+51%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 17.0%)
$18.37
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (23x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$23.22
(+62%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 37.5
Base Case
$21.11
(+48%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 34.1
Bear Case
$9.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 28.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.1 to 24.0
Stabilization Target:
$14.88
(+4.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+4.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 2:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
5
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek
SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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