NPKI Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
NPKI - NPK International Inc.
$15.29
-0.42 (-2.67%)
▼
5d:
+2.27%
30d:
+6.4%
90d:
+5.89%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPKI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: NPKI shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.1% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$24.31
Based on 10.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$15.09
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 23.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: NPKI is currently trading at $15.29, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $14.60 to $15.67. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.7) is in line with its historical norms (23.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.63, while resistance sits at $16.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, NPKI is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $14.63, while resistance sits at $16.20.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.33 (+33.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$14.60 -
$15.67
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
73.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 33.0% below Wall St target ($20.33)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$14.60 -
$15.67
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.63
Resistance Level
$16.20
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
24.66
Wall Street Target
$20.33
(+33.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
15.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
4.7%
Profit Margin
13.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
24.7 vs 23.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$15.46
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$15.63
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$15.80
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 25→24)
PE COMPRESSION
$15.31
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.7, Growth: 17.0%)
$24.48
(+60%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.1, Growth: 17.0%)
$21.90
(+43%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.8, Growth: 17.0%)
$18.62
(+22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (37x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (25x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 37.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case
$25.51
(+67%)
Analyst growth 47.6%, PE expands to 41.2
Base Case
$23.19
(+52%)
Market implied 47.6%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$10.68
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 11:36 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:36 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:36 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is NPKI showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Gregg Piontek
SELL
15000 shares
2026-04-09
Gregg Piontek
SELL
35000 shares
2026-04-01
Mary Celeste Fruge
SELL
1000 shares
2026-03-16
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