NX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

NX - Quanex Building Products Corporation

ROLLING DRAWING & EXTRUDING OF NONFERROUS METALS
$19.14
-0.05 (-0.26%) ▼
5d: -4.68%
30d: -0.05%
90d: -12.56%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jun 04, 2026 19d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: NX shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
See Forward Earnings Fair Value & Price Prediction →

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.90
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.33
Trading above historical range

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.8x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: NX is currently trading at $19.14, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.97 to $20.48. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.3) is in line with its historical norms (7.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, NX is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $18.52, while resistance sits at $20.68.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.75 (+50.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range $18.97 - $20.48
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 43th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 80.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 43th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 50.2% below Wall St target ($28.75)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.0% growth with 2.3% revenue growth

Trading Range Analysis

30-Day Trading Range $18.97 - $20.48
Current vs Trading Range SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$2.13 (11.1%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $18.52
Resistance Level $20.68
Current Trend Uptrend
Technical data as of May 14, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.32
Wall Street Target $28.75 (+50.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 2.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -4.3%
Profit Margin -13.0%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.0% premium
PE vs Historical 8.3 vs 7.8 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.0% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $19.52 (+2%)
2-Year Target $19.91 (+4%)
3-Year Target $20.31 (+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 8→8) PE COMPRESSION $19.04 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.0, Growth: 14.6%) $76.24 (+298%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.3, Growth: 14.6%) $28.78 (+50%)
Bear: (PE: 7.1, Growth: 14.6%) $24.47 (+28%)
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Last updated: May 14, 2026 8:24 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:24 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Teleios Capital Partners… SELL 119485 shares 2025-12-17
Teleios Capital Partners… SELL 80515 shares 2025-12-16

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