PHIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$75.71
-2.43 (-3.11%)
▼
5d:
-10.94%
30d:
-3.55%
90d:
+8.75%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Jul 23, 2026
18d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PHIN is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: PHIN is down 10.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.57
Based on 7.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.79
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $75.71, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.83 to $83.11. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.2) is in line with its historical norms (11.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $75.09. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+21.5%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$77.83 -
$83.11
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.5% below Wall St target ($92.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in -0.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.83 -
$83.11
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$75.09
Resistance Level
$83.35
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.22
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+21.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Profit Margin
4.0%
PE vs Historical
11.2 vs 11.2
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$75.71
(0%)
2-Year Target
$75.71
(0%)
3-Year Target
$75.71
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$75.54
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: 10.7%)
$199.13
(+163%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.2, Growth: 10.7%)
$102.63
(+36%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.5, Growth: 10.7%)
$87.23
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57
Bull Case
$162.40
(+115%)
Analyst growth 88.9%, PE expands to 24.1
Base Case
$147.63
(+95%)
Market implied 88.9%, PE stable at 21.9
Bear Case
$53.14
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 12:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Gustanski
SELL
3812 shares
2026-03-04
Neil Fryer
SELL
624 shares
2026-03-04
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