PHIN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PHIN - PHINIA Inc.
$79.50
0.43 (0.54%)
▲
5d:
+1.34%
30d:
+15.37%
90d:
+6.67%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 30, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PHIN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.8% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$110.03
Based on 8.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$68.32
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PHIN is currently trading at $79.50, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $70.53 to $77.34. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.7) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.50 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PHIN is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $80.92. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: PHIN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $87.50 (+10.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Historical Trading Range
$70.53 -
$77.34
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($87.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.8% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$70.53 -
$77.34
Current vs Trading Range
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$72.17
Resistance Level
$80.93
Current Trend
Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.67
Wall Street Target
$87.50
(+10.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
10.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
52.4%
Profit Margin
4.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.8% premium
PE vs Historical
11.7 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$80.49
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$81.94
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$83.42
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$79.32
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 11.9%)
$209.45
(+165%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.7, Growth: 11.9%)
$110.93
(+40%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.9, Growth: 11.9%)
$94.29
(+19%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (12x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.96 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.57
Bull Case
$163.59
(+107%)
Analyst growth 89.7%, PE expands to 24.2
Base Case
$148.72
(+88%)
Market implied 89.7%, PE stable at 22.0
Bear Case
$53.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 1:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PHIN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher Gustanski
SELL
3812 shares
2026-03-04
Neil Fryer
SELL
624 shares
2026-03-04
Hongyong Yang
SELL
893 shares
2025-11-19
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