PLOW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLOW - DOUGLAS DYNAMICS, INC.
$44.24
-1.14 (-2.51%)
▼
5d:
-2.32%
30d:
-1.75%
90d:
+4.71%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When PLOW Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PLOW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: PLOW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$64.10
Based on 6.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.80
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLOW is currently trading at $44.24, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $44.56 to $46.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.2) is in line with its historical norms (15.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 63.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.25 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLOW is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $44.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $56.25 (+27.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$44.56 -
$46.97
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 27.1% below Wall St target ($56.25)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$44.56 -
$46.97
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$44.07
Resistance Level
$52.33
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.20
Wall Street Target
$56.25
(+27.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
19.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.9%
Profit Margin
7.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-2.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.2 vs 15.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$42.49
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$41.64
(-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→15)
$44.27
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$88.59
(+100%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.2, Growth: 8.8%)
$57.01
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.1, Growth: 8.8%)
$48.46
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.22
Bull Case
$70.04
(+58%)
Analyst growth 40.3%, PE expands to 22.5
Base Case
$63.67
(+44%)
Market implied 40.3%, PE stable at 20.4
Bear Case
$30.86
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.2 to 15.1
Stabilization Target:
$47.04
(+6.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:39 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is PLOW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Christopher E Bernauer
SELL
869 shares
2026-03-09
Jon J Sisulak
SELL
977 shares
2026-03-09
Top Rated Auto Parts Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Auto Parts by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
AZO
AutoZone Inc |
STRONG BUY
29 analysts |
$4205 | 61 BUY |
|
ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$110 | 58 HOLD |
|
MBLY
Mobileye Global Inc. Cla… |
BUY
28 analysts |
$13 | 62 BUY |
|
APTV
Aptiv PLC |
BUY
22 analysts |
$79 | 60 HOLD |
|
BWA
BorgWarner Inc |
STRONG BUY
18 analysts |
$68 | 61 BUY |
Advanced PLOW Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's PLOW price and gamma walls.
