ROCK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ROCK - Gibraltar Industries, Inc.
$35.60
0.22 (0.62%)
▲
5d:
-9.28%
30d:
-9.64%
90d:
-33.27%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When ROCK Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ROCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ROCK shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$91.92
Based on 14.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$57.07
37.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ROCK is currently trading at $35.60, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.35 to $40.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.5) compared to its historical average (10.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 9.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ROCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+94.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ROCK is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $35.10. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: ROCK has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $68.67 (+94.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$37.35 -
$40.47
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 94.1% below Wall St target ($68.67)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.3%) - monitor closely
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$37.35 -
$40.47
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.10
Resistance Level
$40.93
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
7.46
Wall Street Target
$68.67
(+94.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
44.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-16.6%
Profit Margin
-10.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-9.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.5 vs 10.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-9.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$32.05
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$29.04
(-18%)
3-Year Target
$26.31
(-26%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→10)
$35.25
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 24.8%)
$203.56
(+475%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.5, Growth: 24.8%)
$68.85
(+95%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.3, Growth: 24.8%)
$58.52
(+65%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (18x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 18.15 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.09
Bull Case
$83.45
(+136%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 20.0
Base Case
$75.86
(+114%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 18.2
Bear Case
$25.79
(-27%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 15.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.5 to 10.0
Stabilization Target:
$47.40
(+34.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+34.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is ROCK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
4
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
William T Bosway
BUY
1000 shares
2026-03-13
James S Metcalf
BUY
12444 shares
2026-03-10
William T Bosway
BUY
1500 shares
2026-03-10
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$76 | 55 HOLD |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$97 | 57 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$151 | 58 HOLD |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$518 | 56 HOLD |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$81 | 55 HOLD |
