SKYW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SKYW - Skywest Inc
$83.70
-1.22 (-1.44%)
▼
5d:
-4.53%
30d:
-13.61%
90d:
-19.53%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SKYW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SKYW trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.4% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$137.41
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$85.32
1.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.2x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SKYW is currently trading at $83.70, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $83.83 to $95.14. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 7.0) compared to its historical average (8.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.4% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 3.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.10, while resistance sits at $90.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+45.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SKYW is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $81.10, while resistance sits at $90.16.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $121.50 (+45.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$83.83 -
$95.14
Company Quality Score
53/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 45.2% below Wall St target ($121.50)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$83.83 -
$95.14
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$81.10
Resistance Level
$90.16
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
6.98
Wall Street Target
$121.50
(+45.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
6.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
3.3%
Profit Margin
10.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical
7.0 vs 8.2
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$79.18
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$74.90
(-11%)
3-Year Target
$70.86
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 7→8)
$83.21
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$350.49
(+319%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 7.0, Growth: 9.9%)
$111.04
(+33%)
Bear:
(PE: 5.9, Growth: 9.9%)
$94.38
(+13%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.14 | Current EPS (TTM): $10.43
Bull Case
$107.36
(+28%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 9.0
Base Case
$97.60
(+17%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 8.1
Bear Case
$57.75
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 6.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 7.0 to 8.2
Stabilization Target:
$98.29
(+17.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 4:35 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:35 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SKYW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wade J Steel
SELL
20629 shares
2026-02-24
Wade J Steel
SELL
7371 shares
2026-02-18
Meredith Siegfried Madden
SELL
4725 shares
2025-12-11
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