STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$64.40
1.95 (3.12%)
▲
5d:
-13.63%
30d:
-15.54%
90d:
-26.14%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 14, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: STRT is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: STRT is down 13.6% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$106.09
Based on 4.1% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$65.88
2.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $64.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $68.80 to $80.65. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.6) compared to its historical average (13.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 10.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.01, while resistance sits at $77.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+47.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $57.01, while resistance sits at $77.17. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: STRT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $92.00 (+47.3%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$68.80 -
$80.65
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
61.9%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 47.3% below Wall St target ($92.00)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.6% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$68.80 -
$80.65
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$57.01
Resistance Level
$77.17
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 14, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.57
Wall Street Target
$92.00
(+47.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-10.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 13.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-10.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.21
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$50.58
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$45.53
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→13)
$63.26
(+1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 4.2%)
$162.86
(+161%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 4.2%)
$70.72
(+13%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.1, Growth: 4.2%)
$60.11
(-4%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.59 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.06
Bull Case
$75.98
(+22%)
Analyst growth 7.7%, PE expands to 11.6
Base Case
$69.07
(+11%)
Market implied 7.7%, PE stable at 10.6
Bear Case
$43.62
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.6 to 13.3
Stabilization Target:
$86.78
(+39.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+39.0%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 14, 2026 4:33 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:33 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard P Messina
SELL
3000 shares
2025-11-17
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