STRT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
STRT - Strattec Security Corp
$77.84
-4.85 (-5.87%)
▼
5d:
-3.64%
30d:
+0.08%
90d:
-2.21%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Jul 2, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Aug 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: STRT shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$66.16
Based on -2.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$41.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: STRT is currently trading at $77.84, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $77.04 to $80.97. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.8) is in line with its historical norms (13.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.07, while resistance sits at $82.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.50 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, STRT is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $74.07, while resistance sits at $82.60. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 5.9% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $86.50 (+11.1%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Historical Trading Range
$77.04 -
$80.97
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-5.9%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($86.50)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.1% growth with -4.5% revenue growth
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$77.04 -
$80.97
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$74.07
Resistance Level
$82.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Jun 9, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
13.81
Wall Street Target
$86.50
(+11.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-40.9%
Profit Margin
4.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
13.8 vs 13.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$78.70
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$79.56
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$80.44
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 14→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$78.03
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 21.8, Growth: -9.0%)
$92.59
(+19%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 13.8, Growth: -9.0%)
$58.72
(-25%)
Bear:
(PE: 11.7, Growth: -9.0%)
$49.92
(-36%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 13.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.06
Bull Case
$84.58
(+9%)
Analyst growth -7.0%, PE expands to 15.0
Base Case
$76.89
(-1%)
Market implied -7.0%, PE stable at 13.7
Bear Case
$56.23
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 11.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: July 04, 2026 7:40 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:40 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is STRT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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