SWIM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SWIM - Latham Group, Inc. Common Stock
$4.76
-0.15 (-3.05%)
▼
5d:
-13.45%
30d:
-21.06%
90d:
-27.88%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 15, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
0d
Get Alerted When SWIM Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SWIM is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SWIM is down 13.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.17
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.18
41.8% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SWIM is currently trading at $4.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.52 to $6.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 17.6) compared to its historical average (29.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 15.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 39.2% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.14 (+71.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SWIM is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $4.64. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.14 (+71.1%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.10
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 71.1% below Wall St target ($8.14)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$5.52 -
$6.10
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.64
Resistance Level
$6.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 15, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.59
Wall Street Target
$8.14
(+71.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.2%
Profit Margin
1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-15.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.6 vs 29.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-15.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.28
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$3.86
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$3.47
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→30)
$5.84
(+23%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 30.3%)
$13.21
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.6, Growth: 30.3%)
$10.53
(+121%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 30.3%)
$8.95
(+88%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (68x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 68.07 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.07
Bull Case
$10.48
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 74.9
Base Case
$9.53
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 68.1
Bear Case
$3.24
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 57.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.6 to 29.6
Stabilization Target:
$8.01
(+68.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+68.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 15, 2026 10:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:52 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is SWIM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Building Products & Equipment Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Building Products & Equipment by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CARR
Carrier Global Corp |
BUY
25 analysts |
$76 | 58 HOLD |
|
JCI
Johnson Controls Interna… |
BUY
23 analysts |
$151 | 60 HOLD |
|
BLDR
Builders FirstSource Inc |
STRONG BUY
21 analysts |
$97 | 48 HOLD |
|
TT
Trane Technologies plc |
HOLD
26 analysts |
$518 | 60 HOLD |
|
MAS
Masco Corporation |
HOLD
24 analysts |
$81 | 53 HOLD |
