THRM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
THRM - Gentherm Inc
$30.48
0.31 (1.03%)
▲
5d:
-0.03%
30d:
+2.38%
90d:
-3.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 18, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026
0d
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1 traders called THRM this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THRM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: THRM trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -5.0% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$54.46
Based on 9.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$33.82
9.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: THRM is currently trading at $30.48, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $29.16 to $30.72. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.0% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THRM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.43 (+34.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, THRM is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $29.60. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: THRM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $40.43 (+34.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Historical Trading Range
$29.16 -
$30.72
Company Quality Score
66/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
76.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 34.0% below Wall St target ($40.43)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$29.16 -
$30.72
Current vs Trading Range
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.60
Resistance Level
$31.97
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 18, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.89
Wall Street Target
$40.43
(+34.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-81.2%
Profit Margin
1.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.66
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$27.23
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$25.87
(-14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→12)
$30.09
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.1, Growth: 14.5%)
$100.99
(+235%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 14.5%)
$45.24
(+50%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 14.5%)
$38.45
(+28%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.73
Bull Case
$69.21
(+129%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.4
Base Case
$62.92
(+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.1
Bear Case
$21.39
(-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.5
Stabilization Target:
$35.09
(+16.3%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+16.3%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 18, 2026 2:39 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:39 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is THRM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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