SHAK Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SHAK - Shake Shack Inc.
$62.72
-0.11 (-0.18%)
▼
5d:
+3.82%
30d:
-35.73%
90d:
-29.97%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
0d
Smart Money Accumulation
None View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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4 traders called SHAK this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHAK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.0% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SHAK appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -12.0% annual earnings decline despite 29% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$79.04
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$49.08
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SHAK is currently trading at $62.72, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $67.86 to $103.80. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 38.6) compared to its historical average (56.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 12.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 28.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.49, while resistance sits at $72.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.96 (+53.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SHAK is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $59.49, while resistance sits at $72.00.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $95.96 (+53.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Historical Trading Range
$67.86 -
$103.80
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 53.0% below Wall St target ($95.96)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$67.86 -
$103.80
Current vs Trading Range
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.49
Resistance Level
$72.00
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
38.63
Wall Street Target
$95.96
(+53.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
28.7%
Profit Margin
2.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-12.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
38.6 vs 56.6
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-12.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.45
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$50.80
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$45.72
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 39→57)
$66.99
(+7%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 38.6, Growth: 30.7%)
$140.12
(+123%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.0, Growth: 30.7%)
$79.76
(+27%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.7, Growth: 30.7%)
$67.79
(+8%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (64x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (39x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 64.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.98
Bull Case
$114.91
(+83%)
Analyst growth 65.7%, PE expands to 70.8
Base Case
$104.47
(+67%)
Market implied 65.7%, PE stable at 64.4
Bear Case
$42.88
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 54.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 38.6 to 56.6
Stabilization Target:
$91.89
(+46.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+46.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 22, 2026 8:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 9:14 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is SHAK showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Stephanie Ann Sentell
SELL
258 shares
2026-04-15
Stephanie Ann Sentell
SELL
200 shares
2026-01-20
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-05
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